Disclaimer

Disclaimer: This blog should be read as a 'whiteboard' of my daily thoughts and ramblings and specifically not, in any way, advice to trade. My interpretation of the works of Gann, Goodman, Fibonacci, Elliott, Hurst et al; is entirely my own and should be read as such. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this report are provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

Wednesday, 10 July 2013

EURUSD run down

Daily chart
The small dashed trend lines join the 100 day lows. The wide dashed lines are not ‘100 day low joiners’ and as such are seen as interim support from 'inside wave' action and possible pathways. Price is sat at the side wards ledge created by the last two 100 day lows and is likely to see a turn near here, as the 75day low is due too. It could be that this leg down has been the ‘c’ wave in a flat structure since the last 100 day low, but given the likelihood that the next 100 day low will either see a new low than this one being created or a retest of it, I am going to assume that this is just ‘a’ of ‘c’ of ‘B’ down.

240min Chart
The juncture of the 8hr, daily & weekly bollys looks like a good place for this ending diagonal to end and another leg down may just do that. The momentum cluster looks supportive of a drive up and the green 25 day FLD and the 75/100day MA band at the 8hr bolly looks like a good target in due course. This would be my ‘b of c of B’ from above.

10min chart
5 red bars continues the bearish theme but the sweeping up and down inside the weekly price envelope (red) and the ending diagonal in the last chart, suggest that buying the bottoms of the latter may be rewarded in due course, although this is against trend and likely to be the wrong side of the pink FLD and the daily pivot. Until then, selling the strength still looks good.

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