Disclaimer

Disclaimer: This blog should be read as a 'whiteboard' of my daily thoughts and ramblings and specifically not, in any way, advice to trade. My interpretation of the works of Gann, Goodman, Fibonacci, Elliott, Hurst et al; is entirely my own and should be read as such. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this report are provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

Tuesday, 6 November 2012

EURUSD: 9am

Very slow action is usually a sign of either a 4th wave or a B wave in Elliot Wave terminology at some degree of count. Given the move down this morning is also overlapping and stodgy to say the least (out of what I thought was a 4th wave triangle yesterday) it is possible that we are in an expanded flat retracement for the 4th wave where the 'b' leg makes a marginal new low but then pops up with what looks like a trend reversal, only to reverse again down in a 5th. A possible confirmation of this is the MACD on this 60min chart which has yet to reach the zeroline, which is usually where the 4th wave ends, prior to a new price low with positive divergence on the MACD. Alternatively. we are in an expanding diagonal as a 5th wave, which would also see a jump up in due course. So, still looking for a pop up with the purple 16 line in the sky as the target in the 1.2835-45 area, at R1. It is possible that My-Wave will not roll over with this move, but get punctured and stay in tact, leaving potential for a deep retracement at the least. The My-Wave rolling range is very tight now, after this sideways action, so expect something punchy! As always, got to stay focused to the possibilities. Might be a fun day this if price could get above the daily pivot!

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